USL Championship

Tulsa 1-1 Sacramento Republic: prediction, tips and result

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Tulsa
0-01-22-21-11-0
1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Sacramento Republic
3-23-20-01-01-1
Stadium:
Oneok Field, Tulsa, OK

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won59%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Offsides – Tulsa: Over 1.5Lost65%

    our numbers for Tulsa: 2.3 offsides against a league average of 1.6; Tulsa: over 1.5 offsides in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Sacramento Republic's opponents were caught offside over 1.5 times in 7 of 10 (45% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Tulsa: Under 4.5Won66%

    Tulsa: 4.1 shots on target a match, Sacramento Republic's opponents had 2.4 on average, league average 4.6; under 4.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Sacramento Republic's opponents had under 4.5 in 9 of 10 (61% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Sacramento Republic: Under 11.5Lost60%

    our numbers for Sacramento Republic: 10.8 fouls against a league average of 11.5; Sacramento Republic: under 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Tulsa's opponents committed under 11.5 in 5 of 10 (46% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost32%

under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; under 1.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (31% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTulsa154934%40%Draw30%28%Sacramento Republic157237%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%42%O2.539%34%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tulsa1:0Sacramento RepublicW
  2. Sacramento Republic2:0TulsaL
  3. Sacramento Republic0:1TulsaW
  4. Tulsa1:0Sacramento RepublicW
  5. Tulsa0:0Sacramento RepublicD
Tulsa's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)74%1X0:1coverageleague 80% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Tulsa : Sacramento Republic
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-011%0-111%1-28%2-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-014%0-013%0-112%1-2—2-08%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-010%1-014%0-00-011%0-013%0-10-111%0-112%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%85%85%
12 – no draw71%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals67%61%61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%69%69%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals61%66%66%
Both teams to score: no53%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes47%42%42%
Over 2.5 goals39%34%34%
2 – Sacramento Republic win37%32% · Elo 33%32%· Elo 33%
1 – Tulsa win34%38% · Elo 40%38%· Elo 40%
Under 1.5 goals33%39%39%
X – draw30%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals19%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Tulsa attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1490defence1637−147 pts to the attack
Sacramento Republic attack vs Tulsa defenceattack1516defence1595−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 35%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.548%51%
8.535%35%
9.524%29%
10.515%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 3.9, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Sacramento Republicwe expect 3.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.553%62%
22.546%50%
23.540%44%
24.533%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 11.5, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 58%
Sacramento Republicwe expect 10.8, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.586%71%
2.567%55%
3.546%37%
4.527%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tulsawe expect 2.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Sacramento Republicwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 37%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sacramento Republic matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Sacramento Republic: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Tulsa played 3 days ago
  • Sacramento Republic played 3 days ago

League form

Tulsa

Sacramento Republic

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sacramento Republic281112538:2645
5Tulsa281110732:2543
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Tulsa 1-1 Sacramento Republic (half time 1-0).

Did the Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also