Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Sw.: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 23hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%51%O2.557%46%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Colorado Springs Sw.4:1Monterey Bay FCL
- Colorado Springs Sw.2:1Monterey Bay FCL
- Monterey Bay FC2:1Colorado Springs Sw.W
- Monterey Bay FC0:1Colorado Springs Sw.L
- Colorado Springs Sw.1:0Monterey Bay FCL
Monterey Bay FC's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Monterey Bay FC : Colorado Springs Sw.Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-19%1-210%0-29%1-0—0-0—2-16%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-29%0-28%1-09%0-09%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-28%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-16%2-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 77%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Colorado Springs Sw. win | 53%43% · Elo 47% | 43%· Elo 47% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 47%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 1 – Monterey Bay FC win | 23%29% · Elo 27% | 29%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Monterey Bay FC attack vs Colorado Springs Sw. defenceattack1381defence1521−140 pts to the attack
Colorado Springs Sw. attack vs Monterey Bay FC defenceattack1535defence1417+118 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%51%
8.544%34%
9.531%28%
10.521%24%
Each team on its own
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 3.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 4.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 23.1 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.559%63%
22.552%52%
23.545%46%
24.538%41%
Each team on its own
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 12.5, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 10.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%70%
2.550%55%
3.528%39%
4.514%17%
Each team on its own
Monterey Bay FCwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Colorado Springs Sw.4 draws in a rowaway: 2Went on 28%League 29%Model 24%Record 5
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Monterey Bay FC concede 2.0 goals per game
- Monterey Bay FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Colorado Springs Sw.: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Springs Sw. | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:50 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
Colorado Springs Sw. are the favourites. Chances: Monterey Bay FC win 23%, draw 24%, Colorado Springs Sw. win 53%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Monterey Bay FC 1.1, Colorado Springs Sw. 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Sw.?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 03:00 (UK time).