Sacramento Republic 1-1 Colorado Springs Sw.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Papa Murphy's Park, Sacramento, CA

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloSacramento Republic157247%53%Draw27%25%Colorado Springs Sw.148726%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%46%O2.548%41%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Colorado Springs Sw.0:1Sacramento RepublicW
  2. Colorado Springs Sw.0:2Sacramento RepublicW
  3. Sacramento Republic2:2Colorado Springs Sw.D
  4. Sacramento Republic0:1Colorado Springs Sw.L
  5. Colorado Springs Sw.0:2Sacramento RepublicW
Sacramento Republic's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.2under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Sacramento Republic : Colorado Springs Sw.
Most likely scores
Market1-010%1-113%0-08%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-010%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-08%0-010%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat74%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals74%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals74%80%80%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals52%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes52%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals48%41%41%
Both teams to score: no48%54%54%
1 – Sacramento Republic win47%48% · Elo 53%48%· Elo 53%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
2 – Colorado Springs Sw. win26%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals26%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals26%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Sacramento Republic attack vs Colorado Springs Sw. defenceattack1516defence1521−5 pts to the attack
Colorado Springs Sw. attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1531defence1638−107 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 68%close to the league averageunderover 32%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.545%50%
8.532%35%
9.522%29%
10.514%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 4.0, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 23.4 in this match, 22.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.561%63%
22.554%51%
23.547%45%
24.540%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 11.7, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 11.8, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%close to the league averageunder 41%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.581%70%
2.559%54%
3.537%37%
4.520%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sacramento Republicwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sacramento Republic: unbeaten in 10 matches
  • Colorado Springs Sw. score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Colorado Springs Sw.: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sacramento Republic281112538:2645
6Colorado Springs Sw.28118941:3841
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Sw.?

Sacramento Republic 1-1 Colorado Springs Sw. (half time 0-0).