Lexington SC 3-1 El Paso Locomotive FC: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- LEXINGTON SC STADIUM, Lexington, KY
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%
El Paso Locomotive FC: scored in each of their last 9 league matches
Other tips
- Cards: Under 4.5Won57%
3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 4.4
- Fouls: Under 21.5Won57%
our numbers: 20.8 fouls against a league average of 22.3; under 21.5 fouls in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (38% of league matches)
- Offsides – El Paso Locomotive FC: Under 1.5Won69%
our numbers for El Paso Locomotive FC: 1.1 offsides against a league average of 1.4
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.557%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- El Paso Locomotive FC1:4Lexington SCW
- Lexington SC1:2El Paso Locomotive FCL
- El Paso Locomotive FC2:1Lexington SCL
Lexington SC's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses3.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.2under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 2
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)70%O2.51:1coverageleague 59% · H2H 3/3covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.7
Lexington SC : El Paso Locomotive FCMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-010%2-08%0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-26%1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 58%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Lexington SC win | 52%46% · Elo 44% | 46%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – El Paso Locomotive FC win | 24%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Lexington SC attack vs El Paso Locomotive FC defenceattack1552defence1504+48 pts to the attack
El Paso Locomotive FC attack vs Lexington SC defenceattack1516defence1488+28 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%51%
8.546%35%
9.534%29%
10.524%24%
Each team on its own
Lexington SCwe expect 4.7, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 3.9, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.543%62%
22.536%50%
23.530%44%
24.524%39%
Each team on its own
Lexington SCwe expect 9.8, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 10.8, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%71%
2.545%55%
3.524%37%
4.511%16%
Each team on its own
Lexington SCwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
El Paso Locomotive FCwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lexington SC matches average 11.4 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- El Paso Locomotive FC: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- El Paso Locomotive FC: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Lexington SC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- El Paso Locomotive FC: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48:36 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington SC | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lexington SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC?
Lexington SC 3-1 El Paso Locomotive FC (half time 1-1).
Did the Lexington SC vs El Paso Locomotive FC tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.