Phoenix Rising 2-1 Indy Eleven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Phoenix Rising Soccer Stadium, Phoenix, AZ

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost38%

3.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPhoenix Rising146946%47%Draw26%27%Indy Eleven142828%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.555%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Indy Eleven2:1Phoenix RisingL
  2. Phoenix Rising1:1Indy ElevenD
Phoenix Rising's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.1under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.5under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Phoenix Rising : Indy Eleven
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%2-08%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%77%77%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals55%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%52%52%
1 – Phoenix Rising win46%48% · Elo 47%48%· Elo 47%
Under 2.5 goals45%47%47%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals32%31%31%
2 – Indy Eleven win28%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals21%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Phoenix Rising attack vs Indy Eleven defenceattack1531defence1446+85 pts to the attack
Indy Eleven attack vs Phoenix Rising defenceattack1530defence1500+30 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Indy Eleven: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Phoenix Rising: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Indy Eleven: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Phoenix RisingWestern Conference28991039:4236
9Indy ElevenEastern Conference28971234:3634
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?

Phoenix Rising 2-1 Indy Eleven (half time 2-1).

Did the Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.