Phoenix Rising 3-2 Las Vegas Lights: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Phoenix Rising Soccer Stadium, Phoenix, AZ

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won39%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPhoenix Rising146951%48%Draw22%26%Las Vegas Lights140926%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%49%O2.562%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Las Vegas Lights1:1Phoenix RisingD
  2. Phoenix Rising0:0Las Vegas LightsD
  3. Las Vegas Lights0:1Phoenix RisingW
  4. Phoenix Rising1:2Las Vegas LightsL
  5. Las Vegas Lights0:0Phoenix RisingD
Phoenix Rising's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.2under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.3total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Phoenix Rising : Las Vegas Lights
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-07%2-110%2-07%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%2-010%0-09%0-18%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-07%1-012%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-07%2-010%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%72%72%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals62%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes62%49%49%
Under 3.5 goals61%75%75%
1 – Phoenix Rising win51%50% · Elo 48%50%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat48%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals39%25%25%
Under 2.5 goals38%54%54%
Both teams to score: no38%51%51%
2 – Las Vegas Lights win26%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Phoenix Rising attack vs Las Vegas Lights defenceattack1517defence1469+48 pts to the attack
Las Vegas Lights attack vs Phoenix Rising defenceattack1418defence1496−78 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.547%50%
8.534%35%
9.523%29%
10.514%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Phoenix Risingwe expect 3.8, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 3.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 22.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.552%63%
22.545%51%
23.538%45%
24.532%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Phoenix Risingwe expect 10.8, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 11.2, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.570%70%
2.544%54%
3.523%37%
4.511%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Phoenix Risingwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Las Vegas Lightswe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Phoenix Rising matches average only 7.1 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Phoenix Rising: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Las Vegas Lights: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Phoenix Rising28991039:4236
10Las Vegas Lights281061237:4136
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?

Phoenix Rising 3-2 Las Vegas Lights (half time 3-0).

Did the Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.