Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%44%O2.543%38%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Detroit City FC1:0Tampa BayL
- Tampa Bay1:1Detroit City FCD
- Detroit City FC2:0Tampa BayL
- Detroit City FC1:1Tampa BayD
- Tampa Bay2:3Detroit City FCL
Tampa Bay's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Tampa Bay : Detroit City FCMost likely scores
Market1-013%1-113%0-010%2-010%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-011%2-09%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-010%0-011%2-02-010%2-09%0-10-1—0-110%2-12-19%2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Tampa Bay win | 51%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%38% | 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 27%29% · Elo 27% | 29%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%18% | 18% |
| 2 – Detroit City FC win | 21%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
Attack vs defence
Tampa Bay attack vs Detroit City FC defenceattack1600defence1656−56 pts to the attack
Detroit City FC attack vs Tampa Bay defenceattack1434defence1544−110 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 70%close to the league averageunderover 30%
We expect 7.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.542%51%
8.530%34%
9.519%28%
10.512%24%
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Detroit City FCwe expect 2.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 29%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 25.0 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.570%63%
22.564%52%
23.558%46%
24.551%41%
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 13.6, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 68%
Detroit City FCwe expect 11.6, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.585%70%
2.565%55%
3.544%39%
4.525%17%
Each team on its own
Tampa Baywe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Detroit City FCwe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Detroit City FC: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Detroit City FC concede only 0.3 goals per game
- Tampa Bay: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Detroit City FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC?
Tampa Bay are the favourites. Chances: Tampa Bay win 51%, draw 27%, Detroit City FC win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Tampa Bay 1.5, Detroit City FC 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC?
The chance that both teams score is 47%.
When is Tampa Bay vs Detroit City FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).