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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Broom vs Broady 2:0: result and our tips

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Charles BroomATP #264Elo 1685hard 1667
2:0final6:2 6:4
Liam BroadyATP #212Elo 1646hard 1634

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Broady: 18 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Broom 12 of 20, Broady 19 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Broom 8 of 20, Broady 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Charles Broom54%
Liam Broady46%

Elo: C. Broom 55% · L. Broady 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Broom34%
2:1 C. Broom20%
2:1 L. Broady18%
2:0 L. Broady28%

First set

Charles Broom53%
Liam Broady47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,561 matches

Games handicap

C. Broom −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Charles BroomLiam Broady
3Aces3
1Double faults4
60%First serves in70%
77%First-serve points won73%
57%Second-serve points won36%
3/4Break points converted0/4
9/9Service games held6/9
68%Service points won62%
38%Return points won32%
57Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. BroomTourL. Broady
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held81%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%27%
Aces per service game0.480.28
Double faults per game0.190.21
Sets with a tie-break17%15%
Tie-breaks won9/2110/20
Wins in straight sets66%61%
Matches in the sample5157

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Charles Broom

Liam Broady

Elo over the last year

Charles BroomLiam Broady

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. BroomL. Broady
Hard court24–1660%26–1760%
Clay0–20%5–550%
Grass5–456%2–340%

Head to head

C. Broom 0–1 L. Broady

  • 17/09/24Winner: L. Broady7:6 2:6 5:7