Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Caniato vs Bailly: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato66%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly34%
Elo: C. Caniato 65% · G. Bailly 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Caniato44%
2:1 C. Caniato22%
2:1 G. Bailly15%
2:0 G. Bailly20%
First set
Carlo Alberto Caniato62%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 58%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,541 matches
Games handicap
C. Caniato −3.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes35%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Caniato | Tour | G. Bailly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/23 | 4/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 07/11/26LKilian Feldbausch#262Challenger Taranto · SF4:6 4:6
- 06/11/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#176Challenger Taranto · QF7:6 6:4
- 05/11/26WPhilip Henning#236Challenger Taranto · R164:6 6:1 7:6
- 03/11/26WLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Taranto · R327:6 6:4
- 21/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 19/10/26WDiogo MoraisChallenger Lisbon · R326:0 6:3
- 15/10/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Catania · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
- 17/10/26LClement Chidekh#131ATP Brussels · Q11:6 3:6
- 07/09/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Seville · R320:6
- 03/09/26LHugo Dellien#107Challenger Porto · R164:6 0:6
- 01/09/26WAlex Barrena#224Challenger Porto · R327:6 6:3
- 25/08/26LTimofey Skatov#201ATP US Open · Q14:6 2:6
- 18/08/26LNorbert Gombos#372Challenger Prague · R326:4 1:6 4:6
- 28/07/26LSamuele Pieri#315Challenger Bonn · R322:6 3:6
- 22/07/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Tampere · R163:6 2:6
- 20/07/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Tampere · R327:6 6:2
- 13/07/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Bunschoten · R326:2 4:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Carlo Alberto CaniatoGilles Arnaud Bailly
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Caniato | G. Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–443% | 3–925% |
| Clay | 25–1858% | 9–1636% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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