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WTA 125 QuerétaroQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Ferro vs Mandlik 2:1: result and our tips

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Fiona FerroWTA #96Elo 1739clay 1751
2:1final6:2 6:7(5) 6:4
Elizabeth MandlikWTA #221Elo 1537clay 1499

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Ferro 2-0Lost57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ferro won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Mandlik lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mandlik: 6 matches in a row over 18.5 games

  • Match Winner: FerroWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ferro won 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fiona Ferro78%
Elizabeth Mandlik22%

Elo: F. Ferro 81% · E. Mandlik 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Ferro59%
2:1 F. Ferro21%
2:1 E. Mandlik10%
2:0 E. Mandlik10%

First set

Fiona Ferro73%
Elizabeth Mandlik27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%77%
17.567%33%68%
18.557%43%59%
19.548%52%52%
20.542%58%45%
21.539%61%41%
22.535%65%37%

Sample: 1,045 matches

Games handicap

F. Ferro −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 20.0out · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Fiona FerroElizabeth Mandlik
—Aces—
3Double faults10
83%First serves in65%
58%First-serve points won55%
63%Second-serve points won40%
7/18Break points converted4/10
11/15Service games held8/15
59%Service points won50%
50%Return points won41%
124Total points won104

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. FerroTourE. Mandlik
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held64%63%61%
Breaks of serve46%37%35%
Aces per service game0.100.14
Double faults per game0.190.44
Sets with a tie-break6%10%
Tie-breaks won2/72/6
Wins in straight sets66%60%
Matches in the sample5126

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fiona Ferro

Elizabeth Mandlik

Elo over the last year

Fiona FerroElizabeth Mandlik

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. FerroE. Mandlik
Hard court10–953%4–833%
Clay22–971%2–529%
Grass0–10%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Fiona Ferro

Elizabeth Mandlik

Upcoming matches

See also