Friend vs Kachmazov 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Friend: 6 matches in a row under 24.5 games
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: FriendWon56%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Friend: 4 matches in a row winning the first set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Friend: 4 matches in a row under 21.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. Friend 70% · A. Kachmazov 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,733 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 36 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Jay Friend | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aces | 7 |
| 4 | Double faults | 3 |
| 53% | First serves in | 55% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 60% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 16/17 | Service games held | 15/17 |
| 71% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 29% |
| 109 | Total points won | 106 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Friend | Tour | A. Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.63 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 35% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/17 | 7/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 86% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 12 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Friend
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 13/09/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 3 · F3:6 6:1 0:6
- 12/09/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF7:6 6:4
- 11/09/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF3:6 6:4 6:3
- 10/09/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#702Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:2 6:1
- 08/09/26WMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 03/09/26LBilly Harris#241Challenger Manacor · R165:7 4:6
Alibek Kachmazov
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
- 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
- 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
- 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6
- 09/08/26LColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
- 08/02/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Tenerife 2 · Q16:0 4:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Friend | A. Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1566% | 7–558% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jay Friend
- 06/10/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:4
- 08/10/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 09/10/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Wuning 3 · QF7:6 6:2
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
Alibek Kachmazov
- 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3