ATP Stockholm250Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Fritz vs Tirante: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8h 52mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Taylor Fritz84%
Thiago Agustin Tirante16%
Elo: T. Fritz 78% · T. Tirante 22%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Fritz62%
2:1 T. Fritz20%
2:1 T. Tirante8%
2:0 T. Tirante9%
First set
Taylor Fritz76%
Thiago Agustin Tirante24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no72%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 53%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 31% | 69% | 34% |
Sample: 2,474 matches
Games handicap
T. Fritz −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes46%
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Fritz | Tour | T. Tirante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 71% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 1.03 | 0.74 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.13 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/35 | 16/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Taylor Fritz
- 13/11/26WLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Stockholm · SF6:4 6:2
- 11/11/26WCameron Norrie#53ATP Stockholm · R167:5 6:3
- 06/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · QF7:6 5:7 3:6
- 05/11/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Paris · R166:3 6:4
- 04/11/26WAlex Molcan#72ATP Paris · R326:7 7:5 7:6
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#91ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 31/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · SF6:7 3:6
- 30/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · QF6:2 2:0
- 29/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Basel · R166:4 6:3
- 28/10/26WRinky Hijikata#59ATP Basel · R326:4 7:6
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 13/11/26WAlejandro Tabilo#31ATP Stockholm · SF7:5 7:6
- 12/11/26WAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 6:7 6:3
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
- 04/11/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Paris · R327:6 3:6 6:7
- 01/11/26LMattia Bellucci#62ATP Paris · Q24:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WZachary Svajda#78ATP Paris · Q13:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Vienna · Q14:6 6:7
- 19/10/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#66ATP Almaty · R327:6 1:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · R646:4 2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#80ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Taylor FritzThiago Agustin Tirante
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Fritz | T. Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–1372% | 19–1556% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 15–768% |
| Grass | 11–379% | 1–233% |
Head to head
T. Fritz 0–1 T. Tirante
- 05/08/26Winner: T. Tirante5:7 3:6
Road through the tournament
Taylor Fritz
- 11/11/26WCameron Norrie#53ATP Stockholm · R167:5 6:3
- 13/11/26WLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Stockholm · SF6:4 6:2
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
- 12/11/26WAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Stockholm · QF7:6 6:7 6:3
- 13/11/26WAlejandro Tabilo#31ATP Stockholm · SF7:5 7:6
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