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WTA 125 CourmayeurSemifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Jacquemot vs Charaeva 1:2: result and our tips

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Elsa JacquemotWTA #130Elo 1629hard 1628
1:2final2:6 6:4 1:6
Alina CharaevaWTA #82Elo 1833hard 1808

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Jacquemot 12 of 20, Charaeva 14 of 20 (tour average 53%); Jacquemot: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jacquemot: 4 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Jacquemot 7 of 20, Charaeva 9 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elsa Jacquemot41%
Alina Charaeva59%

Elo: E. Jacquemot 26% · A. Charaeva 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Jacquemot22%
2:1 E. Jacquemot18%
2:1 A. Charaeva20%
2:0 A. Charaeva40%

First set

Elsa Jacquemot41%
Alina Charaeva59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%52%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%30%

Sample: 2,493 matches

Games handicap

A. Charaeva −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Elsa JacquemotAlina Charaeva
5Aces7
5Double faults0
68%First serves in72%
55%First-serve points won75%
48%Second-serve points won56%
2/4Break points converted6/14
7/13Service games held10/12
53%Service points won69%
31%Return points won47%
68Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. JacquemotTourA. Charaeva
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won42%44%44%
Service games held63%63%69%
Breaks of serve30%37%36%
Aces per service game0.350.31
Double faults per game0.510.42
Sets with a tie-break15%13%
Tie-breaks won6/1811/21
Wins in straight sets50%64%
Matches in the sample5266

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elsa Jacquemot

Alina Charaeva

Elo over the last year

Elsa JacquemotAlina Charaeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. JacquemotA. Charaeva
Hard court16–1946%18–1358%
Clay3–925%17–1161%
Grass1–420%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Elsa Jacquemot

Alina Charaeva

See also