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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Lalami Laaroussi vs Tosetto 0:2: result and our tips

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Younes Lalami LaaroussiElo 1321clay 1343
0:2final2:6 2:6
Rafael TosettoATP #817Elo 1368clay 1379

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Younes Lalami Laaroussi47%
Rafael Tosetto53%

Elo: Y. Lalami Laaroussi 45% · R. Tosetto 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Lalami Laaroussi28%
2:1 Y. Lalami Laaroussi19%
2:1 R. Tosetto20%
2:0 R. Tosetto33%

First set

Younes Lalami Laaroussi48%
Rafael Tosetto52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,476 matches

Games handicap

R. Tosetto −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Younes Lalami LaaroussiRafael Tosetto
3Aces2
5Double faults1
64%First serves in76%
70%First-serve points won81%
19%Second-serve points won39%
0/4Break points converted4/14
4/8Service games held8/8
52%Service points won70%
30%Return points won48%
46Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. Lalami LaaroussiTourR. Tosetto
Service points won59%62%60%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held70%76%72%
Breaks of serve21%24%26%
Aces per service game0.420.29
Double faults per game0.430.32
Sets with a tie-break5%6%
Tie-breaks won0/11/2
Wins in straight sets100%50%
Matches in the sample914

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Younes Lalami Laaroussi

  • 25/10/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Guayaquil · Q16:4 3:6 3:6
  • 02/08/26LDimitris Sakellaridis#541Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q14:6 3:6
  • 07/05/26LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Brazzaville · R162:6 4:6
  • 05/05/26WBrandon PerezChallenger Brazzaville · R326:2 6:1
  • 28/04/26LNiels Visker#418Challenger Abidjan 2 · R322:6 2:4
  • 22/04/26LCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Abidjan · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/04/26WJody MaginleyChallenger Abidjan · Q26:4 7:5
  • 29/03/26LMoez Echargui#349ATP Marrakech · Q14:6 6:7
  • 02/11/25LCooper Williams#925Challenger Knoxville · Q12:6 1:6
  • 13/04/25LAziz Ouakaa#515Challenger Abidjan · Q10:6 6:4 3:6

Rafael Tosetto

  • 27/09/26LJose Pereira#739Challenger Curitiba · Q14:6 6:3 3:6
  • 22/06/26LWilson Leite#695Challenger Piracicaba · Q23:6 6:4 6:7
  • 21/06/26WAndre SouzaChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:1 6:3
  • 06/05/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Santos · R320:6 1:6
  • 05/05/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#755Challenger Santos · Q26:3 1:6 6:4
  • 04/05/26WPavlos Tsitsipas#994Challenger Santos · Q14:6 6:1 6:3
  • 12/04/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Santa Cruz · Q13:6 5:7
  • 06/04/26LConnor Huertas Del Pino#638Challenger Campinas · Q24:6 3:6
  • 05/04/26WJefferson Wendler FilhoChallenger Campinas · Q12:6 6:0 6:2
  • 24/03/26LEmilio Nava#122Challenger Sao Paulo · R324:6 7:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Younes Lalami LaaroussiRafael Tosetto

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. Lalami LaaroussiR. Tosetto
Hard court1–420%0–0
Clay1–325%6–843%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also