Challenger KobeChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Michalski vs Daniel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 22h 39mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Daniel Michalski29%
Taro Daniel71%
Elo: D. Michalski 28% · T. Daniel 72%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Michalski17%
2:1 D. Michalski13%
2:1 T. Daniel22%
2:0 T. Daniel48%
First set
Daniel Michalski35%
Taro Daniel65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,791 matches
Games handicap
T. Daniel −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Michalski | Tour | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/11 | 9/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 42 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daniel Michalski
- 10/11/26LRio Noguchi#233Challenger Matsuyama · R326:7 1:6
- 02/11/26LAugust Holmgren#265Challenger Taipei · R323:6 4:6
- 15/09/26LMarvin Moeller#229Challenger Szczecin · R322:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LLukas Neumayer#152Challenger Todi · R166:4 5:7 0:6
- 11/08/26WLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Todi · R326:0 6:3
- 18/07/26LFederico Cina#139ATP Kitzbuhel · Q12:6 6:3 1:6
- 11/07/26LCalvin Hemery#284ATP Gstaad · Q16:7 6:2 3:6
- 09/07/26LKimmer Coppejans#219Challenger Liege · R164:6 5:7
- 07/07/26WPedro Boscardin Dias#298Challenger Liege · R326:2 6:1
- 30/06/26LFrancesco Passaro#157Challenger Milan · R324:6 5:7
Taro Daniel
- 13/11/26LRio Noguchi#233Challenger Matsuyama · QF6:7 3:6
- 12/11/26WMax Schoenhaus#306Challenger Matsuyama · R166:2 6:1
- 10/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:0
- 29/10/26LTerence Atmane#75Challenger Seoul · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WAndre Ilagan#196Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:1
- 17/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#86ATP Almaty · Q12:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#128ATP Shanghai · Q16:2 2:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Tokyo · Q13:6 2:6
- 25/09/26LFabian Marozsan#63ATP Hangzhou · R167:6 5:7 6:7
- 24/09/26WDane Sweeny#116ATP Hangzhou · R327:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Daniel MichalskiTaro Daniel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Michalski | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–753% | 20–1557% |
| Clay | 9–1833% | 21–678% |
Head to head
D. Michalski 1–0 T. Daniel
- 28/09/21Winner: D. Michalski7:6 5:7 6:2
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