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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mitsui vs Blancaneaux: prediction and tips

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Shunsuke MitsuiATP #589Elo 1527hard 1523
-:-
Geoffrey BlancaneauxATP #443Elo 1535hard 1541

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.562%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mitsui: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Shunsuke Mitsui58%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux42%

Elo: S. Mitsui 47% · G. Blancaneaux 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Mitsui37%
2:1 S. Mitsui21%
2:1 G. Blancaneaux17%
2:0 G. Blancaneaux25%

First set

Shunsuke Mitsui56%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%65%32%

Sample: 6,047 matches

Games handicap

S. Mitsui −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. MitsuiTourG. Blancaneaux
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held74%76%73%
Breaks of serve27%24%18%
Aces per service game0.310.38
Double faults per game0.270.25
Sets with a tie-break24%15%
Tie-breaks won2/88/13
Wins in straight sets43%75%
Matches in the sample1537

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Shunsuke Mitsui

  • 02/11/26LDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:7 6:7
  • 01/11/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#443Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26LPatrick Zahraj#540Challenger Fort Worth · Q13:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26LOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 1:6
  • 27/09/26WRyan Colby#648Challenger Columbus · Q16:0 6:2
  • 20/09/26LOzan Baris#397Challenger San Diego 2 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 10/08/26LSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Astana · Q25:7 6:7
  • 09/08/26WPawit Sornlaksup#731Challenger Astana · Q17:6 1:6 6:4
  • 22/03/26LTakuya Kumasaka#661Challenger Yokkaichi · Q14:6 0:1
  • 03/02/26LDane Sweeny#114Challenger Brisbane · R322:3

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Elo over the last year

Shunsuke MitsuiGeoffrey Blancaneaux

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. MitsuiG. Blancaneaux
Hard court7–847%7–1139%
Clay0–05–1426%

Head to head

S. Mitsui 1–0 G. Blancaneaux

  • 01/11/26Winner: S. Mitsui6:4 6:2

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