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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Mitsui vs Blancaneaux 2:0: result and our tips

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Shunsuke MitsuiATP #589Elo 1509hard 1506
2:0final6:4 6:2
Geoffrey BlancaneauxATP #443Elo 1550hard 1559

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Shunsuke Mitsui51%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux49%

Elo: S. Mitsui 42% · G. Blancaneaux 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Mitsui32%
2:1 S. Mitsui20%
2:1 G. Blancaneaux19%
2:0 G. Blancaneaux30%

First set

Shunsuke Mitsui51%
Geoffrey Blancaneaux49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,294 matches

Games handicap

S. Mitsui −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Shunsuke MitsuiGeoffrey Blancaneaux
6Aces5
3Double faults1
48%First serves in61%
85%First-serve points won72%
64%Second-serve points won39%
3/7Break points converted0/2
9/9Service games held6/9
74%Service points won59%
41%Return points won26%
64Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. MitsuiTourG. Blancaneaux
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won40%38%37%
Service games held76%76%73%
Breaks of serve27%24%20%
Aces per service game0.300.39
Double faults per game0.240.27
Sets with a tie-break23%14%
Tie-breaks won4/98/13
Wins in straight sets50%79%
Matches in the sample1839

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Shunsuke Mitsui

  • 18/10/26LPatrick Zahraj#540Challenger Fort Worth · Q13:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26LOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 1:6
  • 27/09/26WRyan Colby#648Challenger Columbus · Q16:0 6:2
  • 20/09/26LOzan Baris#397Challenger San Diego 2 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 10/08/26LSidharth Rawat#644Challenger Astana · Q25:7 6:7
  • 09/08/26WPawit Sornlaksup#731Challenger Astana · Q17:6 1:6 6:4
  • 22/03/26LTakuya Kumasaka#661Challenger Yokkaichi · Q14:6 0:1
  • 03/02/26LDane Sweeny#114Challenger Brisbane · R322:3
  • 02/02/26WColin Sinclair#485Challenger Brisbane · Q27:6 6:7 6:4
  • 01/02/26WBrandon WalkinChallenger Brisbane · Q14:6 6:2 6:3

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Elo over the last year

Shunsuke MitsuiGeoffrey Blancaneaux

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. MitsuiG. Blancaneaux
Hard court10–856%9–1145%
Clay0–05–1426%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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