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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Pernas vs Aguilar Cardozo 0:2: result and our tips

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Thiago Agustin PernasElo 1455clay 1457
0:2final0:6 2:6
Federico Aguilar CardozoElo 1446clay 1453

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Aguilar Cardozo: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Agustin Pernas29%
Federico Aguilar Cardozo71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Pernas16%
2:1 T. Pernas14%
2:1 F. Aguilar Cardozo23%
2:0 F. Aguilar Cardozo48%

First set

Thiago Agustin Pernas35%
Federico Aguilar Cardozo65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 63%market (no margin): 53%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.543%57%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 3,825 matches

Games handicap

F. Aguilar Cardozo −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Thiago Agustin PernasFederico Aguilar Cardozo
1Aces0
5Double faults1
43%First serves in46%
48%First-serve points won81%
39%Second-serve points won79%
0/0Break points converted5/10
2/7Service games held7/7
43%Service points won80%
20%Return points won57%
30Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. PernasTourF. Aguilar Cardozo
Service points won—62%57%
Return points won—38%44%
Service games held—76%63%
Breaks of serve—24%36%
Aces per service game—0.22
Double faults per game—0.23
Sets with a tie-break—0%
Tie-breaks won—0/0
Wins in straight sets—100%
Matches in the sample—6

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Agustin Pernas

  • 11/01/26LStefan Palosi#564Challenger Buenos Aires · Q13:6 4:6

Federico Aguilar Cardozo

  • 21/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q24:6 5:7
  • 20/09/26WRyan Dickerson#743Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 18/11/25LGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 4:6
  • 17/11/25WJustin Roberts#962Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:4 6:4
  • 16/11/25WDakotah BoboChallenger Guayaquil · Q17:5 6:3
  • 09/11/25LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Montevideo · Q14:6 1:6
  • 14/09/25LFacundo BagnisChallenger Villa Maria · Q13:6 3:6
  • 17/03/25LConnor Huertas Del Pino#638Challenger Asuncion · Q22:6 3:6
  • 16/03/25WValerio Aboian#258Challenger Asuncion · Q16:4 6:7 6:4
  • 10/11/24LGastao EliasChallenger Montevideo · Q10:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Thiago Agustin PernasFederico Aguilar Cardozo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. PernasF. Aguilar Cardozo
Clay0–10%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also