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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Pridankina vs Badosa 1:0: result and our tips

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Elena PridankinaWTA #206Elo 1650hard 1619
1:0retired7:5
Paula BadosaWTA #57Elo 1910hard 1886

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.573%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pridankina: 13 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Badosa70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Badosa: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.538%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Pridankina 8 of 20, Badosa 11 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elena Pridankina24%
Paula Badosa76%

Elo: E. Pridankina 18% · P. Badosa 82%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Pridankina13%
2:1 E. Pridankina12%
2:1 P. Badosa21%
2:0 P. Badosa54%

First set

Elena Pridankina30%
Paula Badosa70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%28%72%
18.564%36%64%
19.556%44%56%
20.549%51%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,684 matches

Games handicap

P. Badosa −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 22%

Match stats

Elena PridankinaPaula Badosa
0Aces1
0Double faults4
80%First serves in60%
71%First-serve points won68%
44%Second-serve points won44%
2/8Break points converted1/3
5/6Service games held4/6
65%Service points won57%
43%Return points won35%
49Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. PridankinaTourP. Badosa
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won47%44%45%
Service games held60%63%67%
Breaks of serve45%37%37%
Aces per service game0.170.37
Double faults per game0.490.59
Sets with a tie-break7%12%
Tie-breaks won3/87/14
Wins in straight sets77%76%
Matches in the sample4651

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elena Pridankina

Paula Badosa

Elo over the last year

Elena PridankinaPaula Badosa

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. PridankinaP. Badosa
Hard court9–853%14–1352%
Clay15–1060%13–668%
Grass2–250%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Elena Pridankina

Paula Badosa

First match in this tournament.