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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Ribero vs Carballo 2:0: result and our tips

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Franco RiberoATP #683Elo 1453clay 1459
2:0final6:4 6:2
Mateo CarballoElo 1413clay 1414

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 18.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ribero: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Franco Ribero95%
Mateo Carballo5%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Ribero83%
2:1 F. Ribero12%
2:1 M. Carballo3%
2:0 M. Carballo2%

First set

Franco Ribero91%
Mateo Carballo10%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%96%
15.568%32%91%
16.556%44%84%
17.544%56%76%
18.537%63%68%
19.530%70%59%
20.524%76%52%

Sample: 1,207 matches

Games handicap

F. Ribero −7.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes13%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 17.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Franco RiberoMateo Carballo
2Aces0
1Double faults5
59%First serves in66%
57%First-serve points won43%
42%Second-serve points won28%
7/9Break points converted4/5
5/9Service games held2/9
51%Service points won38%
62%Return points won49%
65Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. RiberoTourM. Carballo
Service points won61%62%—
Return points won39%38%—
Service games held73%76%—
Breaks of serve26%24%—
Aces per service game0.30—
Double faults per game0.20—
Sets with a tie-break15%—
Tie-breaks won9/15—
Wins in straight sets77%—
Matches in the sample45—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Franco Ribero

  • 20/10/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#341Challenger Cali · R321:6 3:6
  • 19/10/26WAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Cali · Q26:2 6:2
  • 18/10/26WJesse Flores#810Challenger Cali · Q16:2 6:4
  • 11/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#516Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q13:6 4:6
  • 04/10/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#517Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#626Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q24:6 2:6
  • 30/08/26WDanial SpasovChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 16/08/26LGerard Campana Lee#445Challenger Sion · Q13:6 3:6
  • 09/08/26LNikita Mashtakov#452Challenger Todi · Q16:7 4:6
  • 04/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#280Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R324:6 6:1 3:6

Mateo Carballo

  • 07/06/26LJulian Cundom#921Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Q13:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Franco RiberoMateo Carballo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. RiberoM. Carballo
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay22–2151%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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