Rodriguez vs Aguilar Cardozo 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 63% → with the players' profiles 67%
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Rodriguez 17 of 20, Aguilar Cardozo 7 of 7 (tour average 66%); Rodriguez: 9 matches in a row under 24.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost63%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Rodriguez 17 of 20, Aguilar Cardozo 7 of 7 (tour average 66%); Aguilar Cardozo: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 27% → with the players' profiles 36%
Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Rodriguez 11 of 20, Aguilar Cardozo 3 of 7 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Rodriguez 53% · F. Aguilar Cardozo 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,139 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.0out · 34 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 2 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 65% | First serves in | 68% |
| 61% | First-serve points won | 55% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 6/7 | Break points converted | 7/12 |
| 10/17 | Service games held | 11/17 |
| 55% | Service points won | 57% |
| 43% | Return points won | 45% |
| 97 | Total points won | 101 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Rodriguez | Tour | F. Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 45% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 0% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 0/0 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
- 26/10/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#355Challenger Guayaquil · Q23:6 3:6
- 25/10/26WSergio CastroChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:0
- 12/10/26LThiago Cigarran#595Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WAgustin Eduardo Cuellar LorbergChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:4 6:1
- 05/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 6:0 3:6
- 04/10/26WFranco Ribero#683Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LTomas Barrios Vera#154Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 1:6
- 28/09/26WWilson Leite#695Challenger Curitiba · Q26:1 7:6
- 27/09/26WBruno MilaniChallenger Curitiba · Q16:0 6:2
- 22/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#193Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 6:7
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
- 02/11/26WTomas Farjat#775Challenger Villa Maria · Q27:5 5:5
- 01/11/26WThiago Agustin PernasChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:0 6:2
- 21/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q24:6 5:7
- 20/09/26WRyan Dickerson#743Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:3 6:4
- 18/11/25LGonzalo Bueno#198Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 4:6
- 17/11/25WJustin Roberts#962Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:4 6:4
- 16/11/25WDakotah BoboChallenger Guayaquil · Q17:5 6:3
- 09/11/25LGuido Ivan Justo#186Challenger Montevideo · Q14:6 1:6
- 14/09/25LFacundo BagnisChallenger Villa Maria · Q13:6 3:6
- 17/03/25LConnor Huertas Del Pino#638Challenger Asuncion · Q22:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Rodriguez | F. Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 15–2043% | 5–363% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
First match in this tournament.
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
- 01/11/26WThiago Agustin PernasChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:0 6:2
- 02/11/26WTomas Farjat#775Challenger Villa Maria · Q27:5 5:5
Upcoming matches
- Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Ficovich, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova, · Challenger Villa Maria
- Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray, · Challenger Charlottesville
- Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg, · Challenger Charlottesville