Saraiva Dos Santos vs Tosetto 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Saraiva Dos Santos won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Tosetto lost the first set in 10 of the last 15 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: P. Saraiva Dos Santos 63% · R. Tosetto 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 34% |
Sample: 3,986 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Over 20.5out · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 4 |
| 69% | First serves in | 71% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 59% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 3/10 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 56% | Service points won | 71% |
| 29% | Return points won | 44% |
| 55 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Saraiva Dos Santos | Tour | R. Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/13 | 1/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 15 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
- 11/10/26LSantiago De la Fuente#757Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:7 2:6
- 29/09/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Curitiba · R326:3 3:6 0:6
- 28/09/26WGabriel SchenekenbergChallenger Curitiba · Q27:5 6:4
- 27/09/26WAugusto ScheidtChallenger Curitiba · Q16:2 6:4
- 26/08/26LAndres Martin#359Challenger Kingston 2 · R167:5 3:6 4:6
- 25/08/26WAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:1 6:4
- 18/08/26LGarrett Johns#451Challenger Kingston · R326:2 4:6 2:3
- 17/08/26WMiguel Tobon#432Challenger Kingston · Q27:6 6:2
- 16/08/26WMatt Kuhar#747Challenger Kingston · Q17:6 6:7 6:2
- 26/06/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Piracicaba · R163:6 6:4 2:6
Rafael Tosetto
- 01/11/26WYounes Lalami LaaroussiChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q16:2 6:2
- 27/09/26LJose Pereira#739Challenger Curitiba · Q14:6 6:3 3:6
- 22/06/26LWilson Leite#695Challenger Piracicaba · Q23:6 6:4 6:7
- 21/06/26WAndre SouzaChallenger Piracicaba · Q16:1 6:3
- 06/05/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#197Challenger Santos · R320:6 1:6
- 05/05/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#755Challenger Santos · Q26:3 1:6 6:4
- 04/05/26WPavlos Tsitsipas#994Challenger Santos · Q14:6 6:1 6:3
- 12/04/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Santa Cruz · Q13:6 5:7
- 06/04/26LConnor Huertas Del Pino#638Challenger Campinas · Q24:6 3:6
- 05/04/26WJefferson Wendler FilhoChallenger Campinas · Q12:6 6:0 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Saraiva Dos Santos | R. Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–260% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 14–1942% | 7–847% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
First match in this tournament.
Rafael Tosetto
- 01/11/26WYounes Lalami LaaroussiChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q16:2 6:2
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