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ATP ParisMasters 1000Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Sonego vs Munar 2:1: result and our tips

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Lorenzo SonegoATP #106Elo 1822hard 1802
2:1final6:7(3) 6:3 6:4
Jaume MunarATP #65Elo 1967hard 1972

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won75%

Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 75%

Sonego: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MunarLost66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sonego lost 8 of the last 10 matches; Munar won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 45%

Over 23.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lorenzo Sonego40%
Jaume Munar60%

Elo: L. Sonego 27% · J. Munar 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Sonego23%
2:1 L. Sonego18%
2:1 J. Munar21%
2:0 J. Munar38%

First set

Lorenzo Sonego43%
Jaume Munar57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%52%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 6,002 matches

Games handicap

J. Munar −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 23.0in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lorenzo SonegoJaume Munar
11Aces9
1Double faults1
69%First serves in68%
76%First-serve points won74%
54%Second-serve points won43%
2/14Break points converted0/5
16/16Service games held13/15
69%Service points won64%
36%Return points won31%
120Total points won110

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SonegoTourJ. Munar
Service points won66%62%64%
Return points won34%38%39%
Service games held81%76%79%
Breaks of serve16%24%25%
Aces per service game0.560.42
Double faults per game0.150.22
Sets with a tie-break20%13%
Tie-breaks won12/226/13
Wins in straight sets47%62%
Matches in the sample4138

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lorenzo Sonego

Jaume Munar

Elo over the last year

Lorenzo SonegoJaume Munar

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SonegoJ. Munar
Hard court10–1245%13–668%
Clay3–827%6–843%
Grass4–450%2–340%

Head to head

L. Sonego 1–2 J. Munar

  • 20/08/25Winner: J. Munar6:4 4:6 1:6
  • 12/08/24Winner: J. Munar3:6 6:3 2:6
  • 28/07/23Winner: L. Sonego3:6 6:1 6:2

Upcoming matches

See also