Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Trungelliti vs Dodig: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Marco Trungelliti46%
Matej Dodig54%
Elo: M. Trungelliti 39% · M. Dodig 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Trungelliti27%
2:1 M. Trungelliti19%
2:1 M. Dodig20%
2:0 M. Dodig34%
First set
Marco Trungelliti46%
Matej Dodig54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 76% | 24% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 4,571 matches
Games handicap
Matej Dodig −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Trungelliti | Tour | M. Dodig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.54 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/40 | 17/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 73 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marco Trungelliti
- 21/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Lisbon · R164:6 7:6 6:3
- 20/10/26WTiago Pereira#316Challenger Lisbon · R327:6 4:6 6:1
- 16/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Maia · QF6:2 5:7 6:7
- 15/10/26WMilos Karol#569Challenger Maia · R166:2 6:0
- 13/10/26WThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26LRei Sakamoto#124ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 5:7
- 29/09/26LAlex Molcan#80ATP Beijing · Q24:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WMartin Landaluce#67ATP Beijing · Q16:1 6:7 7:6
- 19/09/26LThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Szczecin · SF4:6 6:3 3:6
- 18/09/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Szczecin · QF7:6 7:5
Matej Dodig
- 21/10/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Lisbon · R166:1 4:6 6:2
- 20/10/26WJoao Domingues#578Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 6:3
- 17/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Maia · SF7:5 1:6 4:6
- 16/10/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger Maia · QF6:4 7:6
- 15/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Maia · R166:4 4:6 6:3
- 14/10/26WPedro Martinez#125Challenger Maia · R326:2 6:1
- 11/10/26WElmer Moller#163Challenger Braga · F3:6 6:3 6:2
- 10/10/26WLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Braga · SF6:3 6:1
- 09/10/26WMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Braga · QF6:2 6:3
- 08/10/26WMiguel Damas#342Challenger Braga · R166:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Marco TrungellitiMatej Dodig
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Trungelliti | M. Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1041% | 13–1154% |
| Clay | 31–1765% | 35–1274% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 1–150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marco Trungelliti
- 20/10/26WTiago Pereira#316Challenger Lisbon · R327:6 4:6 6:1
- 21/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Lisbon · R164:6 7:6 6:3
Matej Dodig
- 20/10/26WJoao Domingues#578Challenger Lisbon · R326:1 6:3
- 21/10/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Lisbon · R166:1 4:6 6:2