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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Tu vs Ryan Ziegann: prediction and tips

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Li TuATP #506Elo 1619hard 1628
-:-
Sam Ryan ZiegannATP #802Elo 1407hard 1429

Our tips

Tip in 8h 22m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Li Tu93%
Sam Ryan Ziegann7%

Elo: L. Tu 76% · S. Ryan Ziegann 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tu76%
2:1 L. Tu16%
2:1 S. Ryan Ziegann3%
2:0 S. Ryan Ziegann5%

First set

Li Tu84%
Sam Ryan Ziegann16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes19%
no81%

Total games

Expected total: 20.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%94%
16.571%29%88%
17.560%40%80%
18.550%50%71%
19.541%59%63%
20.534%66%55%
21.529%71%49%

Sample: 1,357 matches

Games handicap

L. Tu −5.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TuTourS. Ryan Ziegann
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held79%76%71%
Breaks of serve18%24%28%
Aces per service game0.620.51
Double faults per game0.300.22
Sets with a tie-break16%0%
Tie-breaks won6/110/0
Wins in straight sets73%100%
Matches in the sample306

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Li Tu

  • 29/09/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Columbus · R326:3 2:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:3
  • 27/09/26WNicolas Oliveira#797Challenger Columbus · Q16:2 6:3
  • 20/09/26LAlafia Ayeni#434Challenger San Diego 2 · Q13:6 6:7
  • 13/09/26LRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 4:6
  • 22/08/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#472ATP Winston Salem · Q13:6 2:6
  • 31/05/26LLorenzo Carboni#552Challenger Perugia · Q13:6 4:6
  • 25/05/26LLukas Neumayer#155Challenger Vicenza · R326:7 4:6
  • 19/05/26LTommaso Compagnucci#373Challenger Cervia · R325:7 4:6
  • 19/04/26LFajing Sun#287Challenger Wuning 2 · F7:5 4:6 5:7

Sam Ryan Ziegann

  • 14/09/26LFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 13/09/26WThantub SuksumrarnChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:1 7:5
  • 08/09/26LTimofei Derepasko#614Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
  • 07/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#768Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 06/09/26WChristopher PapaChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:1 6:4
  • 05/07/26LWilliam JansenChallenger Nottingham 3 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 27/01/25LJacob BrummChallenger Brisbane · Q26:4 2:6 3:6
  • 26/01/25WKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Brisbane · Q16:2 6:4
  • 30/10/22LKen CavrakChallenger Sydney · R166:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Li TuSam Ryan Ziegann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TuS. Ryan Ziegann
Hard court15–1354%3–260%
Clay0–30%0–0
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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