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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Vrbensky vs Gengel 2:0: result and our tips

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Michael VrbenskyATP #687Elo 1443hard 1466
2:0final7:5 7:5
Marek GengelATP #410Elo 1608hard 1608

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michael Vrbensky46%
Marek Gengel54%

Elo: M. Vrbensky 31% · M. Gengel 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Vrbensky27%
2:1 M. Vrbensky18%
2:1 M. Gengel20%
2:0 M. Gengel35%

First set

Michael Vrbensky46%
Marek Gengel54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,574 matches

Games handicap

M. Gengel −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 24 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Michael VrbenskyMarek Gengel
8Aces7
7Double faults0
67%First serves in65%
78%First-serve points won70%
52%Second-serve points won44%
4/7Break points converted2/8
10/12Service games held8/12
69%Service points won61%
39%Return points won31%
82Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. VrbenskyTourM. Gengel
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held71%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%29%
Aces per service game0.360.50
Double faults per game0.350.25
Sets with a tie-break18%12%
Tie-breaks won6/143/9
Wins in straight sets57%74%
Matches in the sample3432

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michael Vrbensky

  • 14/10/26LLorenzo Giustino#272Challenger Maia · R165:7 5:7
  • 13/10/26WRaul Brancaccio#221Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:1
  • 12/10/26WPatrick Schoen#342Challenger Maia · Q26:3 6:4
  • 11/10/26WOlle Wallin#416Challenger Maia · Q14:3
  • 14/09/26LKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Szczecin · Q25:7 2:6
  • 16/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#442Challenger Prague · Q16:2 2:6 4:6
  • 28/07/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87Challenger San Marino · R323:6 6:3 2:6
  • 27/07/26WMaxime Janvier#605Challenger San Marino · Q26:3 5:7 6:3
  • 19/07/26LPatrik Niklas-SalminenChallenger Tampere · Q16:7 7:6 4:6
  • 28/06/26LMaxime Janvier#605Challenger Brasov · Q16:7 6:4 3:6

Marek Gengel

Elo over the last year

Michael VrbenskyMarek Gengel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. VrbenskyM. Gengel
Hard court8–657%18–1162%
Clay6–1430%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also