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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Zeballos vs Hernandez: prediction and tips

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Federico ZeballosElo 1322clay 1327
-:-
Alex HernandezATP #469Elo 1515clay 1518

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Hernandez 2-072%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zeballos lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 19 matches, Hernandez won 2-0 in 6 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Federico Zeballos11%
Alex Hernandez89%

Elo: F. Zeballos 25% · A. Hernandez 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Zeballos6%
2:1 F. Zeballos6%
2:1 A. Hernandez18%
2:0 A. Hernandez70%

First set

Federico Zeballos18%
Alex Hernandez82%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

Expected total: 20.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.580%20%91%
16.570%30%84%
17.560%40%76%
18.550%50%68%
19.543%58%59%
20.536%64%52%
21.532%69%47%

Sample: 1,516 matches

Games handicap

A. Hernandez −5.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. ZeballosTourA. Hernandez
Service points won58%62%59%
Return points won35%38%38%
Service games held69%76%70%
Breaks of serve18%24%24%
Aces per service game0.270.20
Double faults per game0.340.37
Sets with a tie-break0%10%
Tie-breaks won0/05/9
Wins in straight sets33%73%
Matches in the sample2040

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Federico Zeballos

Alex Hernandez

  • 29/10/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#81Challenger Guayaquil · R160:2
  • 28/10/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#392Challenger Guayaquil · R326:4 6:3
  • 26/10/26WFilip Misolic#676Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:4 6:4
  • 25/10/26WJose Pereira#739Challenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 1:0
  • 20/10/26LGustavo Heide#112Challenger Cali · R324:6 6:3 3:6
  • 19/10/26LFranco Ribero#683Challenger Cali · Q22:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WMatteo Covato#708Challenger Cali · Q17:5 6:4
  • 08/09/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#468Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 07/09/26WTuncay Duran#550Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:4 1:6 6:3
  • 06/09/26WCem IlkelChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:4

Elo over the last year

Federico ZeballosAlex Hernandez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. ZeballosA. Hernandez
Hard court0–20%8–1436%
Clay6–1233%7–1139%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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