Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Watanuki vs Daniel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki61%
Taro Daniel39%
Elo: Y. Watanuki 62% · T. Daniel 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 Y. Watanuki40%
2:1 Y. Watanuki21%
2:1 T. Daniel16%
2:0 T. Daniel23%
First set
Yosuke Watanuki58%
Taro Daniel42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 6,060 matches
Games handicap
Y. Watanuki −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Watanuki | Tour | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.73 | 0.34 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/15 | 9/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yosuke Watanuki
- 08/11/26WJan Kumstat#194Challenger Taipei · F7:6 7:5
- 07/11/26WColeman Wong#85Challenger Taipei · SF7:6 7:6
- 06/11/26WAlexandre Muller#146Challenger Taipei · QF6:4 6:7 6:1
- 05/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · R166:1 6:1
- 03/11/26WLloyd Harris#103Challenger Taipei · R326:2 6:4
- 02/11/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Taipei · Q26:2 6:2
- 01/11/26WDominik Palan#606Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 6:0
- 16/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#125Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 2:6 6:7
- 15/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Jinan · R167:5 6:4
- 14/10/26WAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:2
Taro Daniel
- 29/10/26LTerence Atmane#73Challenger Seoul · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:1
- 17/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#87ATP Almaty · Q12:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#125ATP Shanghai · Q16:2 2:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Tokyo · Q13:6 2:6
- 25/09/26LFabian Marozsan#61ATP Hangzhou · R167:6 5:7 6:7
- 24/09/26WDane Sweeny#114ATP Hangzhou · R327:6 6:2
- 23/09/26WHayato Matsuoka#247ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:6
- 22/09/26WJake Delaney#350ATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:4
- 09/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Shanghai · R165:7 6:7
Elo over the last year
Yosuke WatanukiTaro Daniel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Watanuki | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1070% | 18–1456% |
| Clay | 0–40% | 21–678% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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