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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Watanuki vs Kumstat: prediction and tips

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Yosuke WatanukiATP #375Elo 1800hard 1797
-:-
Jan KumstatATP #194Elo 1913hard 1821

Our tips

Tip in 11h 22m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Yosuke Watanuki62%
Jan Kumstat38%

Elo: Y. Watanuki 46% · J. Kumstat 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Watanuki41%
2:1 Y. Watanuki22%
2:1 J. Kumstat16%
2:0 J. Kumstat22%

First set

Yosuke Watanuki59%
Jan Kumstat41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,971 matches

Games handicap

Y. Watanuki −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. WatanukiTourJ. Kumstat
Service points won63%62%67%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held76%76%86%
Breaks of serve31%24%23%
Aces per service game0.720.74
Double faults per game0.230.24
Sets with a tie-break17%17%
Tie-breaks won9/1411/16
Wins in straight sets77%61%
Matches in the sample3640

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yosuke Watanuki

Jan Kumstat

Elo over the last year

Yosuke WatanukiJan Kumstat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. WatanukiJ. Kumstat
Hard court22–1069%7–558%
Clay0–40%24–486%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Yosuke Watanuki

Jan Kumstat

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