Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Finalhard, indoorbest of three sets
Watanuki vs Kumstat: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 22mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki62%
Jan Kumstat38%
Elo: Y. Watanuki 46% · J. Kumstat 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 Y. Watanuki41%
2:1 Y. Watanuki22%
2:1 J. Kumstat16%
2:0 J. Kumstat22%
First set
Yosuke Watanuki59%
Jan Kumstat41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,971 matches
Games handicap
Y. Watanuki −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes39%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Watanuki | Tour | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.72 | 0.74 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/14 | 11/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 36 | 40 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yosuke Watanuki
- 07/11/26WColeman Wong#85Challenger Taipei · SF7:6 7:6
- 06/11/26WAlexandre Muller#146Challenger Taipei · QF6:4 6:7 6:1
- 05/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · R166:1 6:1
- 03/11/26WLloyd Harris#103Challenger Taipei · R326:2 6:4
- 02/11/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Taipei · Q26:2 6:2
- 01/11/26WDominik Palan#606Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 6:0
- 16/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#125Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 2:6 6:7
- 15/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Jinan · R167:5 6:4
- 14/10/26WAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:2
Jan Kumstat
- 07/11/26WYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Taipei · SF7:5 6:4
- 06/11/26WHarold Mayot#220Challenger Taipei · QF3:6 7:6 6:4
- 04/11/26WBilly Harris#232Challenger Taipei · R167:6 6:4
- 02/11/26WJoel Schwaerzler#172Challenger Taipei · R327:5 3:6 7:6
- 27/10/26LSho Shimabukuro#118Challenger Seoul · R324:6 0:6
- 18/10/26LMichael Mmoh#149ATP Lyon · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
- 15/10/26LJacob Fearnley#90Challenger Olbia · R164:6 3:6
- 13/10/26WEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Olbia · R327:6 7:6
- 31/08/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#202Challenger Como · R324:6 3:6
- 22/08/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Prague · F5:7 6:3 6:0
Elo over the last year
Yosuke WatanukiJan Kumstat
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Watanuki | J. Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1069% | 7–558% |
| Clay | 0–40% | 24–486% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yosuke Watanuki
- 01/11/26WDominik Palan#606Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 6:0
- 02/11/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Taipei · Q26:2 6:2
- 03/11/26WLloyd Harris#103Challenger Taipei · R326:2 6:4
- 05/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Taipei · R166:1 6:1
- 06/11/26WAlexandre Muller#146Challenger Taipei · QF6:4 6:7 6:1
- 07/11/26WColeman Wong#85Challenger Taipei · SF7:6 7:6
Jan Kumstat
- 02/11/26WJoel Schwaerzler#172Challenger Taipei · R327:5 3:6 7:6
- 04/11/26WBilly Harris#232Challenger Taipei · R167:6 6:4
- 06/11/26WHarold Mayot#220Challenger Taipei · QF3:6 7:6 6:4
- 07/11/26WYuta Shimizu#405Challenger Taipei · SF7:5 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Masamichi Imamura vs Kazushi Idogaki, · Challenger Matsuyama
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- Shinji Hazawa vs Dominik Palan, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Benjamin O'Connell vs Chase Ferguson, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Evan Zhu vs Thomas Fancutt, · Challenger Brisbane 3