Primera LPFMatchday 15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.: prediction, tips and stats
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1.1:1.2Pre-match
- Referee:
- Juan Pablo Loustau
Our tips
Tip in 1d 4hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS44%47%O2.540%40%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2H2Hlast meeting
- Gimnasia L.P.1:0Estudiantes Rio CuartoL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.2league 9.0under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.6league 4.7under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.Referee
J. Pablo Loustau−0.4 yellow cards vs average4 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 1.5total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto : Gimnasia L.P.Most likely scores
Market0-114%1-113%0-211%0-011%1-0—1-29%Attack/defence0-112%1-114%0-27%0-011%1-011%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-114%0-112%1-11-113%1-114%0-20-211%0-27%0-00-011%0-011%1-01-0—1-011%1-21-29%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 80%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%53% | 53% |
| 2 – Gimnasia L.P. win | 52%38% · Elo 45% | 38%· Elo 45% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 48%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 28%29% · Elo 30% | 29%· Elo 30% |
| 1 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win | 20%33% · Elo 25% | 33%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1351defence1467−116 pts to the attack
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1522defence1425+97 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%52%
8.543%40%
9.531%30%
10.521%21%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 4.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 4.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 22.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.554%54%
22.547%49%
23.540%43%
24.534%35%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 11.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 10.1, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Referee: 25.0 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)+2.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%65%
3.541%40%
4.523%25%
5.512%15%
Each team on its own
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto score only 0.7 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Gimnasia L.P.: unbeaten in 8 league matches
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gimnasia L.P.: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Gimnasia L.P. are the favourites. Chances: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win 20%, draw 28%, Gimnasia L.P. win 52%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.8, Gimnasia L.P. 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 40%. Most likely score: 0-1.
Will both teams score in Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 30 October 2026, 22:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The referee is Juan Pablo Loustau. In 4 matches in our data they showed 4.5 yellow cards a match on average.