Primera LPFMatchday 14
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 11d 17hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS35%40%O2.533%37%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8
H2Hlast meeting
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1:2Barracas CentralW
Barracas Central's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.6total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Barracas Central : Estudiantes Rio CuartoMost likely scores
Market1-018%0-014%2-013%1-112%2-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-016%0-012%2-011%1-113%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-018%1-016%0-00-014%0-012%2-02-013%2-011%1-11-112%1-113%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%80% | 80% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: no | 65%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61%64% | 64% |
| 1 – Barracas Central win | 56%52% · Elo 52% | 52%· Elo 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%48% | 48% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 35%40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win | 15%20% · Elo 20% | 20%· Elo 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Barracas Central attack vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto defenceattack1459defence1428+31 pts to the attack
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1344defence1497−153 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 7.5 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.561%63%
7.547%52%
8.534%40%
9.523%30%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.554%56%
22.547%50%
23.541%45%
24.534%37%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 11.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%65%
3.541%41%
4.523%26%
5.512%14%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Estudiantes Rio Cuartowe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Barracas Central: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto score only 0.5 goals per game
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 5 defeats in a row
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: newly promoted
- Barracas Central: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 18 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6:16 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
Barracas Central are the favourites. Chances: Barracas Central win 56%, draw 29%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win 15%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
Expected goals: 2.0 (Barracas Central 1.4, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 33%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The chance that both teams score is 35%.
When is Barracas Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 26 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).