Primera LPFMatchday 10

Gimnasia L.P. 2-2 Banfield: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Referee:
Jorge Balino

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won70%

referee Jorge Balino averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 5.1; 5.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.1 in the visitors', league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGimnasia L.P.162456%52%Draw26%28%Banfield154618%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%49%O2.545%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Banfield1:2Gimnasia L.P.W
  2. Gimnasia L.P.3:0BanfieldW
  3. Banfield0:0Gimnasia L.P.D
  4. Banfield0:2Gimnasia L.P.W
  5. Gimnasia L.P.0:1BanfieldL
Gimnasia L.P.'s record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.7under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.5league 5.1under 5.5: 70%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Balino−1.7 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.8total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. : Banfield
Most likely scores
Market1-013%1-112%2-011%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-012%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals76%76%76%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals72%71%71%
1 – Gimnasia L.P. win56%51% · Elo 52%51%· Elo 52%
Under 2.5 goals55%54%54%
Both teams to score: no54%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes46%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals45%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat44%49%49%
Under 1.5 goals28%29%29%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals24%24%24%
2 – Banfield win18%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Banfield defenceattack1499defence1399+100 pts to the attack
Banfield attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1467defence1471−4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Banfield matches average only 3.1 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Banfield: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia L.P.1254317:1719
11Banfield1234514:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield?

Gimnasia L.P. 2-2 Banfield (half time 1-1).

Did the Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.