Primera LPFMatchday 13
Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.: prediction, tips and stats
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- Referee:
- Nicolas Ramirez
Our tips
Tip in 1d 17hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%44%O2.535%38%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gimnasia L.P.0:3HuracanW
- Huracan0:0Gimnasia L.P.D
- Gimnasia L.P.1:0HuracanL
- Huracan0:1Gimnasia L.P.L
- Gimnasia L.P.0:0HuracanD
Huracan's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.8over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.4 yellow cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Huracan : Gimnasia L.P.Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-013%0-111%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-014%0-011%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-014%0-00-013%0-011%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-08%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65%62% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%44% | 44% |
| 1 – Huracan win | 39%45% · Elo 43% | 45%· Elo 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%35% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 30% | 29%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Gimnasia L.P. win | 28%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Huracan attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1451defence1466−15 pts to the attack
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Huracan defenceattack1515defence1560−45 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.568%63%
7.555%52%
8.541%40%
9.529%30%
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 4.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 3.9, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 22.0 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.551%56%
22.544%50%
23.537%45%
24.531%37%
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 11.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 10.5, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Referee: 22.6 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)−0.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%65%
3.552%41%
4.533%26%
5.519%14%
Each team on its own
Huracanwe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Gimnasia L.P.we expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Gimnasia L.P.4 draws in a rowaway: 2Went on 28%League 30%Model 32%Record 8
- Gimnasia L.P.7 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 3Went on 56%League 47%Model 43%Record 12
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Huracan: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Huracan: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Gimnasia L.P.: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Huracan win 39%, draw 32%, Gimnasia L.P. win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Huracan 1.2, Gimnasia L.P. 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 35%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 16 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Huracan vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The referee is Nicolas Ramirez. In 22 matches in our data they showed 5.2 yellow cards a match on average.