Primera LPFMatchday 12

Talleres Cordoba 0-0 Independiente: prediction, tips and result

Monday 12 October · 01:30

Talleres Cordoba

0-0 0-1 2-1 1-3 0-1

0-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Independiente

1-4 2-1 1-1 1-0 0-3

Stadium:: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee:: Sebastian Zunino

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 11 October 2026, 21:39. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Corners: Over 8.5Lost60%

9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.6 in the visitors', league average 8.8; over 8.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

Other tips

Shots on Target – Independiente: Over 3.5Lost58%
Independiente: 3.9 shots on target a match, Talleres Cordoba's opponents had 6.0 on average, league average 3.5; over 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 10 league matches, Talleres Cordoba's opponents had over 3.5 in 9 of 10 (43% of league matches)
Fouls – Independiente: Under 11.5Won60%
Independiente: under 11.5 fouls in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Talleres Cordoba's opponents committed under 11.5 in 6 of 10 (49% of league matches); 10.0 fouls a match, Talleres Cordoba's opponents committed 10.7 on average, league average 11.8

For the brave

Corners: Over 9.5Lost47%

9.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.6 in the visitors', league average 8.8; over 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (38% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTalleres Cordoba157443%33%Draw30%31%Independiente164727%36%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%47%O2.540%41%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

21/03/202621/03/26Independiente1:2Talleres CordobaW
21/07/202521/07/25Independiente1:2Talleres CordobaW
29/01/202529/01/25Talleres Cordoba2:3IndependienteL
11/05/202411/05/24Independiente1:3Talleres CordobaW
28/01/202328/01/23Talleres Cordoba0:1IndependienteL

Talleres Cordoba's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.5league 8.8over 8.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 5

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.9league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 2

RefereeS. Zunino+0.1 yellow cards vs average25 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)69%X21:0coverageleague 72% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3

Talleres Cordoba : Independiente

Most likely scores

Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-07%2-18%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-09%2-07%2-12-1—2-18%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	80%80%	80%
1X – home team avoid defeat	73%68%	68%
12 – no draw	70%71%	71%
Over 1.5 goals	67%67%	67%
Under 2.5 goals	60%59%	59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	57%61%	61%
Both teams to score: no	54%53%	53%
Both teams to score: yes	46%47%	47%
1 – Talleres Cordoba win	43%39% · Elo 33%	39%· Elo 33%
Over 2.5 goals	40%41%	41%
Under 1.5 goals	33%33%	33%
X – draw	30%29% · Elo 31%	29%· Elo 31%
2 – Independiente win	27%32% · Elo 36%	32%· Elo 36%
Over 3.5 goals	20%20%	20%

Attack vs defence

Talleres Cordoba attack vs Independiente defenceattack1476defence1521−45 pts to the attack

Independiente attack vs Talleres Cordoba defenceattack1530defence1477+53 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 7.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over

We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

6.574%63%

7.561%52%

8.548%40%

9.536%31%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 50%

Independientewe expect 4.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 58%

Foulsleague average

Under 22.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%

We expect 20.9 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.544%56%

22.537%50%

23.530%45%

24.525%36%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 10.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%

Independientewe expect 10.9, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 41%

Referee: 22.0 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)−1.3 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%

We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

2.566%65%

3.545%41%

4.527%26%

5.514%14%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Talleres Cordobawe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Independientewe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Independiente matches average 11.6 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Talleres Cordoba: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Talleres Cordoba: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Independiente: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form