BundesligaMatchday 10
LASK vs Salzburg: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%62%O2.565%60%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- LASK2:1SalzburgW
- Salzburg2:3LASKW
- LASK1:5SalzburgL
- Salzburg3:0LASKL
- Salzburg1:2LASKW
LASK's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.9under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
LASK : SalzburgMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-28%1-0—2-27%2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-06%2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%63% | 63% |
| 1 – LASK win | 44%44% · Elo 35% | 44%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%37% | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Salzburg win | 33%32% · Elo 36% | 32%· Elo 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 33%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 29% | 24%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
LASK attack vs Salzburg defenceattack1642defence1594+48 pts to the attack
Salzburg attack vs LASK defenceattack1625defence1562+63 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%53%
8.546%36%
9.534%23%
10.524%19%
Each team on its own
LASKwe expect 4.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Salzburgwe expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 18.3 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.538%54%
20.531%50%
21.525%43%
22.519%37%
Each team on its own
LASKwe expect 8.9, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 40%
Salzburgwe expect 9.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 31%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%60%
3.536%46%
4.520%25%
5.59%17%
Each team on its own
LASKwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Salzburgwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- LASK score 2.4 goals per game
- Salzburg matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- LASK: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Salzburg matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Salzburg: unbeaten in 8 matches
- LASK: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Salzburg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 18 |
| 3 | LASK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:9 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win LASK vs Salzburg?
LASK are the favourites. Chances: LASK win 44%, draw 24%, Salzburg win 33%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in LASK vs Salzburg?
Expected goals: 3.3 (LASK 1.8, Salzburg 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in LASK vs Salzburg?
The chance that both teams score is 67%.
When is LASK vs Salzburg?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).