Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Gent vs Anderlecht: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.548%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gent1:1AnderlechtD
- Anderlecht3:1GentL
- Gent4:2AnderlechtW
- Anderlecht1:0GentL
- Gent0:1AnderlechtL
Gent's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Gent : AnderlechtMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%0-08%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%0-08%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-08%0-08%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Gent win | 40%42% · Elo 38% | 42%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Anderlecht win | 32%31% · Elo 34% | 31%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%27% | 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Gent attack vs Anderlecht defenceattack1510defence1551−41 pts to the attack
Anderlecht attack vs Gent defenceattack1528defence1557−29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%61%
8.554%50%
9.541%40%
10.530%28%
Each team on its own
Gentwe expect 4.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Anderlechtwe expect 4.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.554%63%
20.546%55%
21.539%47%
22.532%39%
Each team on its own
Gentwe expect 9.8, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Anderlechtwe expect 10.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%62%
3.543%43%
4.525%28%
5.513%17%
Each team on its own
Gentwe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Anderlechtwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gent: unbeaten in 9 matches
- Gent: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Anderlecht score a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gent: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Anderlecht: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gent vs Anderlecht?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Gent win 40%, draw 28%, Anderlecht win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Anderlecht?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Gent 1.4, Anderlecht 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Gent vs Anderlecht?
The Pro League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).