Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25
Atletico-MG 2-1 Vitoria: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Edina Alves Batista
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost57%
under 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%46%O2.543%46%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vitoria2:0Atletico-MGL
- Vitoria1:0Atletico-MGL
- Atletico-MG2:2VitoriaD
- Atletico-MG2:2VitoriaD
- Vitoria4:2Atletico-MGL
Atletico-MG's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.9over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 3
RefereeE. Alves Batista+0.5 cards vs average4 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.7 : 0.8total 2.5
Atletico-MG : VitoriaMost likely scores
Market1-013%1-113%2-010%0-010%2-19%3-0—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-012%0-09%2-110%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-013%1-11-113%1-112%2-02-010%2-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%82% | 82% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 57%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Atletico-MG win | 50%57% · Elo 56% | 57%· Elo 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%46% | 46% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 28%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Vitoria win | 22%18% · Elo 19% | 18%· Elo 19% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Atletico-MG attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1509defence1452+57 pts to the attack
Vitoria attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1407defence1541−134 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vitoria: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Vitoria score only 0.5 goals per game
- Atletico-MG: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Atletico-MG: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Vitoria: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
Atletico-MG 2-1 Vitoria (half time 1-0).
Did the Atletico-MG vs Vitoria tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.