Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Bruno Arleu de Araujo
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost61%
8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.7 in the visitors', league average 10.0
For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost49%
8.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.7 in the visitors', league average 10.0
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%50%O2.547%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gremio2:1Atletico-MGL
- Atletico-MG1:3GremioL
- Gremio2:1Atletico-MGL
- Atletico-MG2:1GremioW
- Gremio2:3Atletico-MGW
Atletico-MG's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.0over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 6
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+0.4 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Atletico-MG : GremioMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-012%2-011%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-012%1-012%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Atletico-MG win | 54%52% · Elo 52% | 52%· Elo 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%48% | 48% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Gremio win | 20%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Atletico-MG attack vs Gremio defenceattack1508defence1465+43 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1482defence1529−47 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG 3-0 Gremio (half time 1-0).
Did the Atletico-MG vs Gremio tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.