Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 22
Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
- Referee:
- Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.544%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sao Paulo2:0GremioL
- Gremio2:0Sao PauloW
- Sao Paulo2:1GremioL
- Gremio2:1Sao PauloW
- Sao Paulo1:0GremioL
Gremio's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 7
RefereeA. Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento+1.9 cards vs average1 match
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Gremio : Sao PauloMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Gremio win | 41%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Sao Paulo win | 30%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1481defence1518−37 pts to the attack
Sao Paulo attack vs Gremio defenceattack1492defence1466+26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sao Paulo: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sao Paulo: no win in 7 matches
- Gremio: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sao Paulo: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo (half time 0-1).