Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23

Corinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro: prediction, tips and result

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Corinthians
3-13-01-10-02-0
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Cruzeiro
3-11-00-12-11-1
Stadium:
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won70%

referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.6 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 6.1 cards against a league average of 5.0

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Lost63%

    8.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.9 in the visitors', league average 10.0

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost65%

    our numbers: 2.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Over 6.5Lost40%

referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.6 cards a match, league average 5.0; over 6.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (28% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCorinthians166649%42%Draw30%28%Cruzeiro176321%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%44%O2.535%38%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cruzeiro1:1CorinthiansD
  2. Cruzeiro3:0CorinthiansL
  3. Corinthians0:0CruzeiroD
  4. Corinthians2:1CruzeiroW
  5. Cruzeiro3:0CorinthiansL
Corinthians's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 10.0under 10.5: 63%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards6.1league 5.0over 4.5: 70%Expected cards: 6.1 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 37%.won · ended 5
RefereeD. de Oliveira Lacerda+2.1 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.8total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Corinthians : Cruzeiro
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-114%0-013%2-011%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-114%0-012%2-09%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-012%2-02-011%2-09%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals84%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%73%73%
12 – no draw70%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals65%63%63%
Over 1.5 goals63%64%64%
Both teams to score: no59%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%57%57%
1 – Corinthians win49%43% · Elo 42%43%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: yes41%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals37%36%36%
Over 2.5 goals35%38%38%
X – draw30%30% · Elo 28%30%· Elo 28%
2 – Cruzeiro win21%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals16%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1464defence1563−99 pts to the attack
Cruzeiro attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1505defence1567−62 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Corinthians matches average 6.3 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Cruzeiro: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Corinthians

Cruzeiro

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Cruzeiro301461046:4448
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?

Corinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro (half time 0-1).

Did the Corinthians vs Cruzeiro tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.

See also