Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 22
Cruzeiro 3-1 Mirassol: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte
- Referee:
- Lucas Casagrande
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won65%
referee Lucas Casagrande averages 3.6 cards a match, league average 5.0
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won49%
referee Lucas Casagrande averages 3.6 cards a match, league average 5.0
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%48%O2.549%44%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Mirassol2:2CruzeiroD
- Mirassol1:1CruzeiroD
- Cruzeiro2:1MirassolW
Cruzeiro's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.0under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Casagrande−1.2 cards vs average8 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.5
Cruzeiro : MirassolMost likely scores
Market1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-013%1-11-112%1-113%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-08%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%77% | 77% |
| 1 – Cruzeiro win | 57%50% · Elo 47% | 50%· Elo 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 43%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%23% | 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 25%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Mirassol win | 18%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Cruzeiro attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1502defence1497+5 pts to the attack
Mirassol attack vs Cruzeiro defenceattack1510defence1565−55 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cruzeiro matches average 6.4 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Mirassol concede a lot late on: 12 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Cruzeiro: 10 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Mirassol: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46:44 | 48 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Cruzeiro 3-1 Mirassol (half time 1-1).
Did the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.