Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Fluminense 2-1 Remo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Joao Vitor Gobi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

referee Joao Vitor Gobi averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 5.0

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Won57%

    10.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.0 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won37%

referee Joao Vitor Gobi averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 5.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFluminense176564%60%Draw23%23%Remo160613%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%46%O2.545%48%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Remo0:2FluminenseW
Fluminense's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.4league 5.0under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Vitor Gobi−2.6 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.7total 2.5Attack/defence1.8 : 0.8total 2.6
Fluminense : Remo
Most likely scores
Market1-014%2-014%1-111%2-19%0-09%3-0—Attack/defence1-013%2-012%1-111%2-110%0-08%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%2-02-014%2-012%1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-09%0-08%3-03-0—3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%84%84%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals76%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals71%73%73%
1 – Fluminense win64%61% · Elo 60%61%· Elo 60%
Both teams to score: no58%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals55%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals45%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes42%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%40%40%
Under 1.5 goals29%27%27%
Over 3.5 goals24%26%26%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
2 – Remo win13%16% · Elo 17%16%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Fluminense attack vs Remo defenceattack1529defence1434+95 pts to the attack
Remo attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1428defence1576−148 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Remo matches average 12.0 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Remo: newly promoted
  • Fluminense: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Remo: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Fluminense30149748:3751
19Remo305101533:4825
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fluminense vs Remo?

Fluminense 2-1 Remo (half time 0-1).

Did the Fluminense vs Remo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.