Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee:
- Anderson Daronco
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost58%
under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost31%
under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%46%O2.542%40%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Palmeiras2:1FluminenseL
- Palmeiras0:0FluminenseD
- Fluminense1:2PalmeirasL
- Palmeiras0:1FluminenseW
- Fluminense1:0PalmeirasW
Fluminense's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.0over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 7
RefereeA. Daronco−0.4 cards vs average11 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Fluminense : PalmeirasMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-111%0-011%1-28%2-1—2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-111%0-011%1-2—2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-010%1-012%0-10-111%0-111%0-00-011%0-011%1-21-28%1-2—2-12-1—2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 58%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Palmeiras win | 37%32% · Elo 39% | 32%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Fluminense win | 32%39% · Elo 32% | 39%· Elo 32% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 30%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Fluminense attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1524defence1633−109 pts to the attack
Palmeiras attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1599defence1579+20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Palmeiras concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Fluminense: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Palmeiras: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 63 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras (half time 1-1).
Did the Fluminense vs Palmeiras tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.