Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 29

Remo 1-1 Gremio: prediction, tips and result

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Remo
1-22-30-11-21-2
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Gremio
0-02-31-20-13-1
Stadium:
Mangueirao, Belem
Referee:
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Over 4.5Won61%

referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.1 yellow cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 5.3 yellow cards against a league average of 4.7

Other tips

  • Fouls: Under 22.5Lost62%

    our numbers: 21.1 fouls against a league average of 25.1; referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 22.9 fouls a match, league average 25.1

  • Offsides – Remo: Under 1.5Won64%

    our numbers for Remo: 1.3 offsides against a league average of 1.5; Remo: 1.5 offsides a match, Gremio's opponents were caught offside 0.8 times on average, league average 1.5

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Over 5.5Won44%

referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda averages 6.1 yellow cards a match, league average 4.7; our numbers: 5.3 yellow cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRemo160646%41%Draw28%29%Gremio164027%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.549%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gremio0:0RemoD
Remo's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses0.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.3league 4.7over 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 5.3 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 34%.won · ended 7
RefereeD. de Oliveira Lacerda+1.7 yellow cards vs average19 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)66%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 65% · H2H 0/1covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.7
Remo : Gremio
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%72%72%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals73%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals49%51%51%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
1 – Remo win46%46% · Elo 41%46%· Elo 41%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
2 – Gremio win27%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
Over 3.5 goals27%29%29%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Remo attack vs Gremio defenceattack1428defence1444−16 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Remo defenceattack1449defence1425+24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.555%53%
9.542%42%
10.531%31%
11.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Remowe expect 5.3, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Gremiowe expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 79%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 21%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 25.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.526%51%
25.521%45%
26.516%40%
27.513%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Remowe expect 11.3, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 35%
Gremiowe expect 11.8, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 41%
Referee: 22.9 fouls per match on average (39 matches in our data)−3.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%78%
2.555%55%
3.533%35%
4.517%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Remowe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Gremiowe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 47%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Remo: 5 defeats in a row
  • Remo: newly promoted
  • Remo: 18 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gremio: 17 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Remo

Gremio

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18Gremio307101332:4031
19Remo305101533:4825
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Remo vs Gremio?

Remo 1-1 Gremio (half time 0-1).

Did the Remo vs Gremio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.

See also