Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Botafogo RJ 3-2 Gremio: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Edina Alves Batista

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost56%

over 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon57%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost40%

over 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBotafogo RJ169855%53%Draw24%26%Gremio164021%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gremio5:3Botafogo RJL
  2. Botafogo RJ3:2GremioW
  3. Gremio1:1Botafogo RJD
  4. Botafogo RJ0:0GremioD
  5. Gremio1:2Botafogo RJW
Botafogo RJ's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.0over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 2
RefereeE. Alves Batista0.0 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Botafogo RJ : Gremio
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%3-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-110%2-010%3-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%3-03-0—3-07%3-13-16%3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%81%81%
12 – no draw76%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals66%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals56%56%56%
1 – Botafogo RJ win55%59% · Elo 53%59%· Elo 53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals44%44%44%
Both teams to score: no43%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals34%33%33%
X – draw24%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
2 – Gremio win21%19% · Elo 21%19%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals20%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Botafogo RJ attack vs Gremio defenceattack1555defence1446+109 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1453defence1510−57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Botafogo RJ30991243:4836
18Gremio307101332:4031
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Botafogo RJ vs Gremio?

Botafogo RJ 3-2 Gremio (half time 1-1).

Did the Botafogo RJ vs Gremio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.