Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24
Bragantino 1-0 Gremio: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganca Paulista
- Referee:
- Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won60%
referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 6.0 cards a match, league average 5.0
For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Lost44%
over 5.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (42% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gremio1:1BragantinoD
- Bragantino1:0GremioW
- Gremio1:1BragantinoD
- Bragantino2:2GremioD
- Gremio0:2BragantinoW
Bragantino's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.0over 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 5
RefereeF. Fernandes de Lima+0.9 cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.8total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Bragantino : GremioMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-012%2-012%2-110%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-012%1-011%2-02-012%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Bragantino win | 61%52% · Elo 48% | 52%· Elo 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 39%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%27% | 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Gremio win | 16%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Bragantino attack vs Gremio defenceattack1499defence1457+42 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1477defence1504−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 40 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bragantino vs Gremio?
Bragantino 1-0 Gremio (half time 0-0).
Did the Bragantino vs Gremio tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.