Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26

Vitoria 1-0 Gremio: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador
Referee:
Savio Pereira Sampaio

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won56%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVitoria163344%42%Draw28%29%Gremio164027%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%52%O2.544%47%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gremio2:0VitoriaL
  2. Gremio3:1VitoriaL
  3. Vitoria1:1GremioD
  4. Vitoria1:1GremioD
  5. Gremio2:0VitoriaL
Vitoria's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.9over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 7
RefereeS. Pereira Sampaio+0.7 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.6
Vitoria : Gremio
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-08%2-19%2-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%71%71%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals71%72%72%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals56%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%56%56%
Both teams to score: no51%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes49%52%52%
1 – Vitoria win44%44% · Elo 42%44%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals44%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
2 – Gremio win27%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals23%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Vitoria attack vs Gremio defenceattack1404defence1452−48 pts to the attack
Gremio attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1469defence1455+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vitoria score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Vitoria: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gremio: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Vitoria301061433:4436
18Gremio307101332:4031
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vitoria vs Gremio?

Vitoria 1-0 Gremio (half time 0-0).

Did the Vitoria vs Gremio tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.