Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25
Gremio 3-1 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre (attendance: 22,522)
- Referee:
- Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%54%O2.549%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Chapecoense-SC1:1GremioD
- Chapecoense-SC1:3GremioW
- Gremio2:1Chapecoense-SCW
- Chapecoense-SC0:1GremioW
- Gremio3:3Chapecoense-SCD
Gremio's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.9under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Jose Pereira de Lima−0.9 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 0.8total 2.7Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Gremio : Chapecoense-SCMost likely scores
Market1-012%2-012%1-111%2-110%0-08%3-0—3-1—Attack/defence1-010%2-010%1-111%2-110%0-0—3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-010%2-02-012%2-010%1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-0—3-03-0—3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 85%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%78% | 78% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%68% | 68% |
| 1 – Gremio win | 63%58% · Elo 55% | 58%· Elo 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%32% | 32% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 22%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Chapecoense-SC win | 15%19% · Elo 20% | 19%· Elo 20% |
Attack vs defence
Gremio attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1471defence1363+108 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Gremio defenceattack1415defence1459−44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.0 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC matches average only 3.6 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
- Gremio: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Chapecoense-SC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 31 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gremio vs Chapecoense-SC?
Gremio 3-1 Chapecoense-SC (half time 2-1).