Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24
Chapecoense-SC 1-0 Sao Paulo: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena Conda, Chapeco
- Referee:
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won58%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 5.0; under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (46% of league matches)
Other tips
- Corners: Over 9.5Won59%
10.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.2 in the visitors', league average 10.0
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 5.0; under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (28% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%53%O2.541%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sao Paulo2:0Chapecoense-SCL
- Chapecoense-SC1:1Sao PauloD
- Sao Paulo1:1Chapecoense-SCD
- Chapecoense-SC0:3Sao PauloL
- Sao Paulo4:0Chapecoense-SCL
Chapecoense-SC's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.0over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.2league 5.0under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 4
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.6 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.4total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Chapecoense-SC : Sao PauloMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-113%0-011%0-210%1-29%1-0—2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%0-08%0-2—1-28%1-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-113%0-110%0-00-011%0-08%0-20-210%0-2—1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 76%66% | 66% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%47% | 47% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%62% | 62% |
| 2 – Sao Paulo win | 47%38% · Elo 42% | 38%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%48% | 48% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Chapecoense-SC win | 24%35% · Elo 29% | 35%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1420defence1519−99 pts to the attack
Sao Paulo attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1490defence1357+133 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chapecoense-SC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Chapecoense-SC matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Sao Paulo matches average 12.2 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Chapecoense-SC: no win in 21 matches
- Sao Paulo: no win in 9 matches
- Sao Paulo: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chapecoense-SC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sao Paulo: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chapecoense-SC vs Sao Paulo?
Chapecoense-SC 1-0 Sao Paulo (half time 1-0).
Did the Chapecoense-SC vs Sao Paulo tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.