Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23

Sao Paulo 1-1 Coritiba: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Morumbí, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Charly Wendy Straub Deretti

The match in numbers

1X2EloSao Paulo169256%49%Draw27%27%Coritiba164518%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.544%47%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Coritiba0:1Sao PauloW
  2. Sao Paulo2:1CoritibaW
  3. Coritiba1:1Sao PauloD
  4. Sao Paulo3:1CoritibaW
  5. Coritiba1:1Sao PauloD
Sao Paulo's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.0over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 3
RefereeC. Wendy Straub Derettifirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.8total 2.4Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
Sao Paulo : Coritiba
Most likely scores
Market1-013%1-112%2-012%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-112%2-011%0-08%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-013%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-012%2-011%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%80%80%
Under 3.5 goals77%74%74%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals71%72%72%
1 – Sao Paulo win56%55% · Elo 49%55%· Elo 49%
Under 2.5 goals56%53%53%
Both teams to score: no55%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%45%45%
Both teams to score: yes45%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals44%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals29%28%28%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals23%26%26%
2 – Coritiba win18%20% · Elo 24%20%· Elo 24%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1494defence1434+60 pts to the attack
Coritiba attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1435defence1516−81 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sao Paulo matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sao Paulo: no win in 8 matches
  • Sao Paulo: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Coritiba: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
11Coritiba301091138:4839
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?

Sao Paulo 1-1 Coritiba (half time 1-0).